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Byron Wien: Predictions & Picks

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Byron Wien
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Byron Wien is Vice Chairman of Blackstone Advisory Partners. Prior to joining Blackstone, Mr. Wien was Chief Investment Strategist for Pequot Capital and before that served for 21 years as Chief (later Senior) U.S. Investment Strategist at Morgan Stanley.

Calls Tracked: Top Annual Predictions (2010-13)

Tracked Since: January 2010
Predictions Graded:
44
Correct Predictions:
9
Hit Rate:
20%
Yield:
$0.50

Best Predictions

  1. 1.
    Oil rises to $115 in 2011
    01-03-2011
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  2. 2.
    Gold rises above 1600 in 2011
    01-03-2011
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  3. 3.
    Oil declines to $85 in 2012
    01-04-2012
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Worst Predictions

  1. 1.
    US GDP grows 5%+ AND Unemployment below 9% AND S&P earnings $80+ in 2010
    01-04-2010
    Wrongimg
  2. 2.
    Corn to $8 AND Wheat to $10 AND Soybeans to $16 in 2011
    01-03-2011
    Wrongimg
  3. 3.
    Real GDP up 5% and Unemployment drops below 9% in 2011
    01-03-2011
    Wrongimg
Can you make better predictions than
Byron Wien?

Prediction Date Made Date Due Vote Until Link/Source Boldness My Vote
2015: Brent oil prices slip into $40s AND Brent/WTI both rise above $70 in second half 01/05/15 12/31/15 02/05/15 Blackstone tbd Vote Now
2015: S&P 500 will increase 13-17% for the full year (prediction = 15%) 01/05/15 12/31/15 02/20/15 Blackstone tbd Vote Now
2015: Fed raises short-term rates before June 30 AND equities correct as a result 01/05/15 12/31/15 Closed Blackstone tbd Closed
2015: Hackers invade accounts of a major money center bank 01/05/15 12/31/15 Closed Blackstone tbd Closed
2015: European stocks decline 01/05/15 12/31/15 Closed Blackstone tbd Closed
2015: Nikkei 225 is flat for the year in local currency 01/05/15 12/31/15 Closed Blackstone tbd Closed
2015: China GDP growth is well below 7% 01/05/15 12/31/15 Closed Blackstone tbd Closed
2015: Iran adopts conciliatory attitude on nuclear negotiations 01/05/15 12/31/15 Closed Blackstone tbd Closed
2015: High yield market outperforms 01/05/15 12/31/15 Closed Blackstone tbd Closed
2015: Republicans get legislation done 01/05/15 12/31/15 Closed Blackstone tbd Closed
See All Live Predictions
Prediction Date Made Date Due Outcome Link/Source Boldness My Vote
2014: S&P 500 total return will approach 20% for full year after 10%+ correction during year 01/06/14 12/31/14 Blackstone Medium-High Closed
2014: Dollar will appreciate, trading below $1.25 against the euro and buying 120 yen during year 01/06/14 12/31/14 Blackstone Medium Closed
2014: Nikkei 225 will rise to 18000+ early in year but market suffers 20%+ correction in second half 01/06/14 12/31/14 Blackstone Medium-High Closed
2014: Chinese GDP growth between 5.8%-6.2% AND another disappointing year for mainland equities 01/06/14 12/31/14 Blackstone Medium-High Closed
2014: Mexico and South Korea equity markets do well; other Emerging Markets do not 01/06/14 12/31/14 Blackstone Medium Closed
2014: WTI crude price exceeds $110 during the year 01/06/14 12/31/14 Blackstone Medium Closed
2014: Corn goes to $5.25 a bushel, wheat to $7.50 AND soybeans to $16.00. 01/06/14 12/31/14 Blackstone Medium-High Closed
2014: 10-year US treasury yield rises to 4% AND short-term rates stay near zero 01/06/14 12/31/14 Blackstone Medium-High Closed
2014: Democrats retain Senate AND gain seats in House 01/06/14 12/31/14 Blackstone Medium-High Closed
Iran announces in 2013 that it has enough enriched uranium to produce a nuclear missile 01/02/13 12/31/13 Blackstone Medium-High Closed
See All Past Predictions

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